You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Over 8 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 6 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Brock Ballou (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonNolan McLean 26.7/9.5 · Matt Wilkinson 12.8/4.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.0 vs 8 typical at Citi Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.5 · away 22.9
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 123p/3d (b2b 0) · away 270p/3d (b2b 2) · recent arms: Carson Seymour, Chris Devenski, Daniel Duarte, Dedniel Núñez
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonNolan McLean 26.7/9.5 · Matt Wilkinson 12.8/4.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4 typical at Citi Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.5 · away 22.9
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +6 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +8.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
San Francisco Giants6New York Mets10FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
|---|
| NYM | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | — | 10 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 9 · WON
C Over 8.0 runs · landed 16 · WON