New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

Tue 9/15 · 6:40 PM CDT · Target Field

THE EDGE

B-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 12 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Brennan Miller (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Bailey Ober 17.1/6.8 · Max Fried 24.6/8.1

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Target Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 19.8 · away 24.9

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved +0.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).

The total line has moved +2 since the grade (anchor 7.5).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

NYY

BOT 9 · 3 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-16T02:28:27Z ·

MIN

AT BAT

Royce Lewis

season line pending

PITCHING

Ryan Yarbrough

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	1	8
MIN	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

New York Yankees8Minnesota Twins1FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	1	8
MIN	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

B First-5-innings Over 4.0 · landed 4 · PUSH

C Over 7.5 runs · landed 9 · WON

TOTAL · OVER 7.5 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% over · market 49%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.0

B cards like this have won 49% over · market 50%