You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 9 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Sean Barber (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJoe Ryan 26.8/5.2 · Tanner Bibee 18.9/7.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Target Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 20.2 · away 17.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +2 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +4 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Cleveland Guardians9Minnesota Twins2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
B First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 5 · WON
no lean Over 7.5 runs · landed 11 · WON