You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 9 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Adam Beck (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonAndrew Morris 13.3/6.7 · Troy Melton 20.9/7.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.5 vs 8.5 typical at Target Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 19.0 · away 21.2
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 111p/3d (b2b 0) · away 190p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Jacob Waguespack, Jeff Hoffman, Kyle Finnegan, Tanner Rainey
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonAndrew Morris 13.3/6.7 · Troy Melton 20.9/7.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Target Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 19.0 · away 21.2
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -2 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +9 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 8.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Detroit Tigers2Minnesota Twins15FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | — | 15 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 5 · WON
B Over 8.5 runs · landed 17 · WON