You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
A-grade Under 8 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 18 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Emil Jimenez (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDDustin May 22.6/8.0 · Andrew Abbott 18.1/10.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.0 vs 8 typical at American Family Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.7 · away 26.2
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 143p/3d (b2b 0) · away 142p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Abner Uribe, Brandon Sproat, JoJo Romero, Jose Trevino
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDDustin May 22.6/8.0 · Andrew Abbott 18.1/10.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4 typical at American Family Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.7 · away 26.2
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported open before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved +5.5 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +12.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Cincinnati Reds0Milwaukee Brewers20FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| MIL | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 20 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 17 · WON
A Under 8.0 runs · landed 20 · LOST