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You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Sun 9/20 · 8:10 PM CDT · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 2 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire John Tumpane (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season
Tarik Skubal 30.2/4.4 · Yunior Marte 16.7/11.1
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 19.7 · away 24.5
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 7.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
SF
0
BOT 2 · 2 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-20T01:43:40Z · thru AB 18
LAD
1
AT BAT
Alex Freeland
K% 27.7 · BB% 11.6 (267 PA) · bats S
1st time through the order
PITCHING
Yunior Marte
FB tonight 93.7 ▲0.5 vs norm
37 pitches · 9 batters faced
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
12345
last pitch: SL · 86.3 mph
zone as sized for this batter
ballcalled strikeswing/foulin play
LAST PLAY
Alex Freeland singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Josue De Paula to 2nd.
12R
SF000
LAD1—1
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Final state renders once the game completes.
TOTAL
no lean
model 52% under · market 52%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 48% under · market 48%