St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Fri 9/4 · 9:10 PM CDT · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 7.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 8 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Jim Wolf (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Tarik Skubal 30.9/4.2 · Quinn Mathews 22.5/9.0

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 7.5 vs 8.5 typical at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 20.3 · away 21.7

CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Tarik Skubal 30.9/4.2 · Quinn Mathews 22.5/9.0

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 20.3 · away 21.7

F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -6.2% (n=446) vs 8.8% (n=358) in the favorable branch.

The f5_total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 4).

The total line has moved -3 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 7.5).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction. Getting in before the line moves is the point.

STL

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

LAD

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

St. Louis Cardinals2Los Angeles Dodgers3FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
STL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
LAD	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

no lean First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 3 · WON

C Over 7.5 runs · landed 5 · LOST

TOTAL · OVER 7.5 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% over · market 48%

FIRST 5 INNINGS

no lean

model 51% under · market 51%