You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
B-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 11 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Chad Fairchild (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDYusei Kikuchi 22.9/9.7 · George Kirby 19.9/5.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Angel Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 25.9 · away 24.0
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved +1.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Seattle Mariners7Los Angeles Angels2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|---|
| LAA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
B First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 7 · LOST
A Under 8.0 runs · landed 9 · LOST