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You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

Wed 9/16 · 8:38 PM CDT · Angel Stadium
THE EDGE
A-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 17 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Brian Walsh (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Ryan Johnson 17.8/10.7 · Logan Gilbert 27.3/6.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Angel Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 25.6 · away 24.1
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -3.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -3.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
SEA
1
TOP 9 · 3 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-16T04:09:24Z ·
LAA
2
AT BAT
Cole Young
season line pending
PITCHING
Ryan Watson
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
123456789R
SEA0000010001
LAA00001100—2
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Seattle Mariners1Los Angeles Angels2FINAL
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SEA0000010001
LAA00001100—2
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
A First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed 1 · WON
B Under 8.0 runs · landed 3 · WON
TOTAL · UNDER 8.0 RUNS
B
B cards like this have won 52% under · market 51% · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 4.0
A
A cards like this have won 55% under · market 48% · stake 1u