Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals

Tue 9/8 · 6:40 PM CDT · Kauffman Stadium

THE EDGE

B-grade Over 9 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 10 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Ryan Wills (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Michael Wacha 20.1/6.2 · Corbin Burnes —/—

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 9.0 vs 9 typical at Kauffman Stadium this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 18.8 · away 20.6

CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Michael Wacha 20.1/6.2 · Corbin Burnes —/—

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Kauffman Stadium this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 18.8 · away 20.6

F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved -3 since the grade (anchor 4.5).

The total line has moved -0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 9).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Arizona Diamondbacks5Kansas City Royals3FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R
AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	5
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 0 · LOST

B Over 9.0 runs · landed 8 · LOST

TOTAL · OVER 9.0 RUNS

B cards like this have won 52% over · market 51% · stake 0.5u

FIRST 5 INNINGS

no lean

model 53% over · market 52%