You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals
Sun 9/6 · 1:10 PM CDT · Kauffman Stadium
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 8 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Dan Merzel (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDRandy Dobnak 17.5/9.2 · Spencer Arrighetti 22.4/12.8
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Kauffman Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 18.5 · away 18.6
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -2 since the grade (anchor 9.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Toronto Blue Jays1Kansas City Royals6FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| KC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 6 · LOST
C Under 9.5 runs · landed 7 · WON
TOTAL · UNDER 9.5 RUNS
C
C cards like this have won 52% under · market 52%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 5.0
C
C cards like this have won 51% under · market 47%