You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals
Sat 9/5 · 6:10 PM CDT · Kauffman Stadium
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 0 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Shane Livensparger (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDSeth Lugo 17.8/7.4 · Max Scherzer 18.5/10.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Kauffman Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 18.8 · away 19.0
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +2 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 9.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Toronto Blue Jays4Kansas City Royals3FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|---|
| KC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 6 · WON
no lean Over 9.5 runs · landed 7 · LOST
TOTAL
no lean
model 48% over · market 49%
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 53% over · market 52%