You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals
Wed 9/2 · 6:40 PM CDT · Kauffman Stadium
THE EDGE
C-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Nestor Ceja (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDNoah Cameron 20.5/7.5 · Eury Pérez 26.8/10.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Kauffman Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 18.7 · away 22.0
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +6.5 since the grade (anchor 9).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Miami Marlins9Kansas City Royals6FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| MIA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
|---|
| KC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 10 · WON
no lean Over 9.0 runs · landed 15 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 48% over · market 49%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.5
C
C cards like this have won 51% over · market 49%