You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals
Tue 9/1 · 6:40 PM CDT · Kauffman Stadium
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 5.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 12 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Charlie Ramos (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDRandy Dobnak 16.7/9.4 · Tyler Phillips 18.2/8.2
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.5 vs 4.5 typical at Kauffman Stadium this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 18.8 · away 21.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -2 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5.5).
The total line has moved -0.5 since the grade (anchor 10).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Miami Marlins6Kansas City Royals3FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| MIA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
B First-5-innings Over 5.5 · landed 3 · LOST
no lean Under 10.0 runs · landed 9 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 52% under · market 51%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 5.5
B
B cards like this have won 49% over · market 49%