You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Sat 9/19 · 6:10 PM CDT · Daikin Park
THE EDGE
A-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 12 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Nic Lentz (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Hayden Wesneski 19.2/8.1 · Grant Holmes 18.0/10.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Daikin Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 24.0 · away 22.6
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved -2.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -3 since the grade (anchor 8.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
ATL
0
TOP 6 · 0 OUT
B S OUT
updated 2026-09-20T00:31:34Z · thru AB 40
HOU
2
AT BAT
Ronald Acuña Jr.
K% 22.5 · BB% 11.2 (445 PA) · bats R
3rd time through the order
PITCHING
Hayden Wesneski
FB tonight 93.6▲0.6 vs norm
73 pitches · 20 batters faced
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
last pitch: CH · 87.0 mph
zone as sized for this batter
ballcalled strikeswing/foulin play
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
accuracy 98.7% over 75 takes · his season accuracy 93.1%
LAST PLAY
Drake Baldwin singles on a fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
1
2
3
4
5
6
R
ATL
0
0
0
0
0
—
0
HOU
1
0
1
0
0
—
2
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Final state renders once the game completes.
TOTAL
no lean
model 53% over · market 53%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 5.0
A
A cards like this have won 55% over · market 48% · stake 1u