Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros

Thu 9/17 · 7:10 PM CDT · Daikin Park

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Stu Scheurwater (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Cristian Javier 20.3/10.7 · Daniel Lynch IV 12.5/8.9

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Daikin Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 23.6 · away 20.3

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.

The f5_total line has moved -2.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).

The total line has moved -1.5 since the grade (anchor 9).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

BOT 9 · 3 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-17T03:02:25Z ·

HOU

AT BAT

Jorge Barrosa

season line pending

PITCHING

Steven Cruz

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	5
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Kansas City Royals5Houston Astros2FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	5
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

C First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 2 · LOST

C Over 9.0 runs · landed 7 · LOST

TOTAL · OVER 9.0 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% over · market 48%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 5.0

C cards like this have won 51% over · market 48%