You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 8 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Jordan Baker (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonMiguel Ullola 0.0/0.0 · Seth Lugo 17.8/7.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Daikin Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.5 · away 20.1
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved -0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -0.5 since the grade (anchor 9).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Kansas City Royals2Houston Astros6FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| KC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| HOU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | 6 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
B First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 5 · PUSH
A Over 9.0 runs · landed 8 · LOST