You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 1 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Rob Drake (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDHunter Brown 25.9/11.9 · Michael Wacha 20.0/6.5
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Daikin Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.4 · away 20.2
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved -1 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved -1.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Kansas City Royals2Houston Astros4FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| HOU | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 5 · WON
no lean Under 8.0 runs · landed 6 · WON