You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Dan Merzel (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDHayden Wesneski 21.1/9.0 · Davis Martin 20.9/7.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.5 vs 8.5 typical at Daikin Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 21.7 · away 24.1
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 247p/3d (b2b 0) · away 213p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Bennett Sousa, Bryan Abreu, Bryan Hudson, Enyel De Los Santos
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDHayden Wesneski 21.1/9.0 · Davis Martin 20.9/7.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Daikin Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 21.7 · away 24.1
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
Conditions have changed since the grade (wind component +11→+7 mph) — the frozen grade and reasoning predate this.
The total line has moved -6 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 8.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Chicago White Sox0Houston Astros2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | — | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 0 · LOST
C Under 8.5 runs · landed 2 · WON