You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire James Jean (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJackson Jobe 20.8/9.6 · Gabriel Hughes 19.7/8.4
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Comerica Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 24.1 · away 24.0
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +2.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +0.5 since the grade (anchor 9).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Colorado Rockies1Detroit Tigers8FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| DET | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 9 · LOST
no lean Over 9.0 runs · landed 9 · PUSH