Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies

Sat 9/19 · 7:10 PM CDT · Coors Field

THE EDGE

C-grade Under 5.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Mike Estabrook (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Gabriel Hughes 19.4/8.7 · Bryan Woo 24.8/5.3

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 5.5 vs 6 typical at Coors Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 23.1 · away 23.8

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -6.2% (n=446) vs 8.8% (n=358) in the favorable branch.

The total line has moved -1 since the grade (anchor 10.5).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

SEA

BOT 9 · 3 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-19T03:20:25Z ·

COL

AT BAT

Mickey Moniak

season line pending

PITCHING

Andrés Muñoz

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
COL	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	4

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Seattle Mariners5Colorado Rockies4FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
COL	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	4

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

C First-5-innings Under 5.5 · landed 5 · WON

B Under 10.5 runs · landed 9 · WON

TOTAL · UNDER 10.5 RUNS

B cards like this have won 52% under · market 50% · stake 0.5u

FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 5.5

C cards like this have won 51% under · market 49%