Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.504940818718882,
"p_shipped": 0.5174413018730661,
"model_mu": 5.291764632782329,
"market_p": 0.5289473684210526,
"divergence": -0.024006549702170643,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 5.5,
"anchor_book": "williamhill_us",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Altitude (5190 ft) inflates scoring",
"share": 0.4087,
"contribution": 0.30938,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"alt_kft",
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "No prior major-league start on record for the home starter \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2339,
"contribution": 0.1771,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"h_sp_days_rest_miss",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_pitch_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1701,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team below league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0872,
"contribution": -0.06601,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_bb30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0837,
"contribution": -0.06338,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_ra30",
"h_elo",
"a_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans over",
"share": 0.0164,
"contribution": 0.01238,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"a_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4513811753993947,
"p_shipped": 0.4999352242763423,
"model_mu": 9.581383761917799,
"market_p": 0.5,
"divergence": -0.04861882460060529,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 10.5,
"anchor_book": "onexbet",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2517,
"contribution": -0.15997,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_apps_3d"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1875,
"contribution": 0.1192,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_trip7",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.1825,
"contribution": -0.11598,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_bb30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "No pitch-tracking data for the home starter \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1489,
"contribution": 0.09463,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitch_miss",
"a_sp_bb_pct_shr",
"a_sp_starts_c10"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0934,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.074,
"contribution": -0.04701,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_unearned30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Altitude (5190 ft) inflates scoring",
"share": 0.0621,
"contribution": 0.03945,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"alt_kft",
"park_f5_asof",
"wind_out_comp"
]
}
]
}
]