You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Over 6 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 3 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Andy Fletcher (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDTanner Gordon 16.1/4.5 · Michael King 20.8/9.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 6.0 vs 6 typical at Coors Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.4 · away 20.5
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +3.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 6).
The total line has moved +1 since the grade (anchor 10.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
San Diego Padres9Colorado Rockies2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| SD | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
|---|
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 6.0 · landed 10 · WON
no lean Under 10.5 runs · landed 11 · LOST