San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

Thu 9/17 · 7:40 PM CDT · Coors Field

THE EDGE

C-grade Under 6 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 5 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Cory Blaser (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Mason Adams 28.6/11.7 · Robbie Ray 19.4/12.4

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 6.0 vs 6 typical at Coors Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 23.4 · away 20.5

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved +0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 6).

The total line has moved +1.5 since the grade (anchor 11).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

BOT 9 · 3 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-17T03:27:25Z ·

COL

AT BAT

Ezequiel Tovar

season line pending

PITCHING

Yuki Matsui

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SD	2	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	9
COL	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

San Diego Padres9Colorado Rockies3FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SD	2	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	9
COL	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

C First-5-innings Under 6.0 · landed 9 · LOST

B Under 11.0 runs · landed 12 · LOST

TOTAL · UNDER 11.0 RUNS

B cards like this have won 52% under · market 52% · stake 0.5u

FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 6.0

C cards like this have won 51% under · market 51%