You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
Sun 9/6 · 12:40 PM CDT · Progressive Field
THE EDGE
A-grade Under 3.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 13 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Jacob Metz (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Gavin Williams 33.0/7.6 · Jackson Jobe 18.3/9.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 3.5 vs 4 typical at Progressive Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 18.1 · away 22.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Conditions have changed since the grade (wind component -10→-7 mph) — the frozen grade and reasoning predate this.
The total line has moved -1.5 since the grade (anchor 7).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
DET
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
CLE
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Detroit Tigers2Cleveland Guardians3FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
R
DET
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
CLE
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
A First-5-innings Under 3.5 · landed 4 · LOST
no lean Under 7.0 runs · landed 5 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 53% under · market 52%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 3.5
A
A cards like this have won 55% under · market 47% · stake 1u