Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

Fri 9/18 · 5:40 PM CDT · Great American Ball Park

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 8 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired.

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Chase Burns 29.4/8.8 · Clay Holmes 18.9/9.0

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.0 vs 5 typical at Great American Ball Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 26.2 · away 18.2

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Home-plate umpire not confirmed — profile-based reads are provisional.

Lineups not posted at grade time.

The f5_total line has moved +0.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).

The total line has moved -0.5 since the grade (anchor 9).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

CHC

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

CIN

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Final state renders once the game completes.

TOTAL · OVER 9.0 RUNS

A cards like this have won 54% over · market 47% · stake 1u

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.0

C cards like this have won 51% over · market 53%