Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.6125606270003139,
"p_shipped": 0.525602610240306,
"model_mu": 4.651807055728666,
"market_p": 0.5322997416020672,
"divergence": 0.08026088539824672,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Both teams above league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.3458,
"contribution": 0.25943,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Game-time temperature 78\u00b0F",
"share": 0.1843,
"contribution": 0.13831,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"roof_open",
"temp_out",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.1717,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "The home team's catcher loses strikes on close pitches",
"share": 0.1336,
"contribution": 0.10022,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0941,
"contribution": 0.07063,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_inn1_whiff"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0705,
"contribution": -0.0529,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5983752663867921,
"p_shipped": 0.48672714253765675,
"model_mu": 9.822742185082486,
"market_p": 0.4742268041237113,
"divergence": 0.12414846226308074,
"band": "A",
"anchor_line": 9.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team above league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.4497,
"contribution": 0.33839,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Light travel this week for the away team",
"share": 0.2391,
"contribution": 0.17988,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_miles7d_k",
"h_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter strikes out 28.4% of batters, adjusted \u2014 a higher strikeout rate than average",
"share": 0.0929,
"contribution": -0.06993,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_k_pct_shr",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_prev_pitches"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No umpire zone data \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.0789,
"contribution": -0.05936,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_zone_miss",
"ump_gate_miss",
"ump_acc_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "defense",
"phrase": "Defense leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0777,
"contribution": 0.05849,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_err30",
"a_unearned30",
"h_err30"
]
},
{
"family": "lineup",
"phrase": "2 recent call-ups for the home team",
"share": 0.0617,
"contribution": 0.04643,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_recent_debuts",
"a_recent_debuts"
]
}
]
}
]