You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
Fri 9/4 · 5:10 PM CDT · Great American Ball Park
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 11 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire James Jean (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDRhett Lowder 18.2/8.1 · Shane Drohan 23.1/8.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 5 typical at Great American Ball Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 25.5 · away 23.3
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +6.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +8 since the grade (anchor 9.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Milwaukee Brewers10Cincinnati Reds7FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| MIL | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
|---|
| CIN | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
B First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 15 · WON
no lean Over 9.5 runs · landed 17 · WON
TOTAL
no lean
model 50% over · market 50%
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 5.0
B
B cards like this have won 49% over · market 52%