You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Mark Wegner (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDSean Burke 25.7/9.0 · Jackson Jobe 23.0/8.8
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Rate Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 25.3 · away 23.8
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -1.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -3.5 since the grade (anchor 8).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Detroit Tigers1Chicago White Sox3FINAL
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Under 4.0 · landed — · PENDING — SETTLES ON THE NEXT GRADES PASS
C Under 8.0 runs · landed 4 · PENDING — SETTLES ON THE NEXT GRADES PASS