Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4535378084556394,
"p_shipped": 0.5036057781370401,
"model_mu": 3.7894309749349797,
"market_p": 0.5193798449612403,
"divergence": -0.06584203650560094,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter has thrown 436 pitches over 30 days",
"share": 0.6607,
"contribution": -0.21155,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1545,
"contribution": -0.04946,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"roof_open",
"wind_out_comp"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0869,
"contribution": -0.02783,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.073,
"contribution": 0.02338,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0249,
"contribution": 0.00797,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_elo",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T17:00:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.46396060092586305,
"p_shipped": 0.5094463639402389,
"model_mu": 4.3439928274565105,
"market_p": 0.5219638242894057,
"divergence": -0.05800322336354263,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T17:00:21Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter has thrown 436 pitches over 30 days",
"share": 0.7592,
"contribution": -0.21155,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_velo_dev",
"h_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.0839,
"contribution": 0.02338,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.0779,
"contribution": -0.02171,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"h_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in home runs, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0504,
"contribution": -0.01405,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0286,
"contribution": 0.00797,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_elo",
"a_elo"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4438578945492799,
"p_shipped": 0.5047333450106597,
"model_mu": 6.882447920844177,
"market_p": 0.5218508997429305,
"divergence": -0.07799300519365066,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 7.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under",
"share": 0.2583,
"contribution": -0.20773,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_bb30",
"a_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.2328,
"contribution": 0.18729,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_rpg_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter threw 48 pitches last start",
"share": 0.1848,
"contribution": -0.14867,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_prev_pitches",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_velo_dev"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1752,
"contribution": -0.14091,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_b2b"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1489,
"contribution": 0.11975,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"park_f5_asof",
"wind_out_comp"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-19T17:00:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.43238491225388664,
"p_shipped": 0.48177171672840485,
"model_mu": 8.13330054856494,
"market_p": 0.48843187660668386,
"divergence": -0.05604696435279721,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-19T17:00:21Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under",
"share": 0.2417,
"contribution": -0.19405,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_bb30",
"a_off_hr30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Walk-prone umpire zone",
"share": 0.2333,
"contribution": 0.18729,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_bb_dev_sd",
"ump_edge_cs_asof",
"ump_rpg_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter threw 48 pitches last start",
"share": 0.1852,
"contribution": -0.14867,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_prev_pitches",
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_velo_dev"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1755,
"contribution": -0.14091,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_b2b"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1643,
"contribution": 0.13194,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"park_f5_asof",
"temp_out"
]
}
]
}
]