Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox

Thu 9/10 · 6:40 PM CDT · Rate Field

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 4 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Alex MacKay (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

K-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: FALSE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Hagen Smith —/— · Jared Jones 27.6/8.4

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Rate Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 24.0 · away 23.8

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Tonight falls in the unfavorable subgroup: -6.2% (n=446) vs 8.8% (n=358) in the favorable branch.

The f5_total line has moved -1.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4).

The total line has moved -5 since the grade (anchor 7.5).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

PIT

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

CWS

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Pittsburgh Pirates2Chicago White Sox0FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
PIT	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2
CWS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

C First-5-innings Over 4.0 · landed 1 · LOST

no lean Under 7.5 runs · landed 2 · WON

TOTAL

no lean

model 51% under · market 49%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.0

C cards like this have won 51% over · market 50%