You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Jim Wolf (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEK-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDSean Burke 26.0/8.8 · Bubba Chandler 19.9/12.1
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.5 vs 8 typical at Rate Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.6 · away 25.7
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEK-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDSean Burke 26.0/8.8 · Bubba Chandler 19.9/12.1
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Rate Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 23.6 · away 25.7
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +4 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +4 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction. Getting in before the line moves is the point.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Pittsburgh Pirates9Chicago White Sox3FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| PIT | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
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| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 10 · WON
C Under 8.5 runs · landed 12 · LOST