You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Sat 9/12 · 1:20 PM CDT · Wrigley Field
THE EDGE
A-grade Over 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 13 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Lance Barksdale (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Clay Holmes 18.6/8.6 · Paul Skenes 28.3/7.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Wrigley Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 19.4 · away 23.6
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -2 since the grade (anchor 9.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
PIT
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
CHC
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Pittsburgh Pirates3Chicago Cubs4FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
PIT
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
3
CHC
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
—
4
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
A First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 2 · LOST
A Over 9.5 runs · landed 7 · LOST
TOTAL · OVER 9.5 RUNS
A
A cards like this have won 54% over · market 50% · stake 1u
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 5.0
A
A cards like this have won 55% over · market 49% · stake 1u