Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs

Fri 9/11 · 1:20 PM CDT · Wrigley Field

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Derek Thomas (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Shota Imanaga 23.9/5.5 · Wilber Dotel —/—

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Wrigley Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 20.2 · away 23.6

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved +3 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4.5).

The total line has moved +6 since the grade (anchor 8.5).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

PIT

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

CHC

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Pittsburgh Pirates2Chicago Cubs12FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
CHC	0	3	2	4	0	2	1	0	—	12

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

C First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 10 · WON

no lean Over 8.5 runs · landed 14 · WON

TOTAL

no lean

model 47% over · market 49%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.5

C cards like this have won 51% over · market 50%