You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs
Thu 9/3 · 6:15 PM CDT · Wrigley Field
THE EDGE
A-grade Over 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 20 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Willie Traynor (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Kevin Gausman 23.8/6.6 · Logan Henderson 30.1/4.9
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Wrigley Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 20.4 · away 23.3
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -1.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved -4 since the grade (anchor 8.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
MIL
—
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
CHC
—
AT BAT
—
season line pending
PITCHING
—
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
UMP ZONE TONIGHT
LAST PLAY
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Milwaukee Brewers1Chicago Cubs2FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
MIL
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
CHC
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
—
2
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
A First-5-innings Over 4.5 · landed 3 · LOST
A Over 8.5 runs · landed 3 · LOST
TOTAL · OVER 8.5 RUNS
A
A cards like this have won 54% over · market 49% · stake 1u
FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 4.5
A
A cards like this have won 55% over · market 48% · stake 1u