You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 9 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Carlos Torres (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJake Bennett 20.5/4.6 · Ryan Johnson 17.6/11.2
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 9.0 vs 8 typical at Fenway Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 19.8 · away 25.7
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 149p/3d (b2b 0) · away 132p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Alec Gamboa, Ben Joyce, Blake Weiman, Garrett Whitlock
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJake Bennett 20.5/4.6 · Ryan Johnson 17.6/11.2
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 4.5 typical at Fenway Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 19.8 · away 25.7
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1.5 since the grade (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +0.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 9).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Los Angeles Angels6Boston Red Sox4FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 8 · WON
C Under 9.0 runs · landed 10 · LOST