You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
A-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 13 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Derek Thomas (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDPatrick Sandoval 23.2/10.6 · Bryce Miller 24.6/7.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.5 vs 8 typical at Fenway Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 18.5 · away 24.8
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 249p/3d (b2b 1) · away 165p/3d (b2b 1) · recent arms: Alec Gamboa, Andrés Muñoz, Aroldis Chapman, Carlos Vargas
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDPatrick Sandoval 23.2/10.6 · Bryce Miller 24.6/7.0
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Fenway Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 18.5 · away 24.8
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +1 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +3 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Seattle Mariners8Boston Red Sox3FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 5 · LOST
A Under 8.5 runs · landed 11 · LOST