SPOTTER.
You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

Sat 9/5 · 6:05 PM CDT · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 7.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 9 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Ramon De Jesus (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Chris Bassitt 14.1/8.8 · Sonny Gray 21.8/6.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 7.5 vs 9 typical at Oriole Park at Camden Yards this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 24.4 · away 19.3
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICED
home 165p/3d (b2b 0) · away 159p/3d (b2b 2) · recent arms: Albert Suárez, Alex Hoppe, Aroldis Chapman, Cam Sanders
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED
Chris Bassitt 14.1/8.8 · Sonny Gray 21.8/6.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICED
tonight's line 4.0 vs 4.5 typical at Oriole Park at Camden Yards this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED
home 24.4 · away 19.3
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -3.5 since the grade (anchor 4).
The total line has moved -2 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 7.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
BOS
· OUT
B S OUT
updated ·
BAL
AT BAT
season line pending
PITCHING
no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Boston Red Sox5Baltimore Orioles0FINAL
123456789R
BOS0000032005
BAL0000000000
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 4.0 · landed 0 · LOST
B Over 7.5 runs · landed 5 · LOST
TOTAL · OVER 7.5 RUNS
B
B cards like this have won 52% over · market 51% · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5 INNINGS
no lean
model 54% over · market 53%