You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 7 points. The fired signals' value is timing — the close absorbs them. Umpire Adam Hamari (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonTyler Mahle 22.8/7.9 · Tim Mayza 23.1/3.8
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.5 vs 8.5 typical at Truist Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.3 · away 18.7
BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICEDhome 130p/3d (b2b 2) · away 149p/3d (b2b 1) · recent arms: Alex McFarlane, Brooks Raley, Chase Shugart, Didier Fuentes
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonTyler Mahle 22.8/7.9 · Tim Mayza 23.1/3.8
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Truist Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.3 · away 18.7
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +2 since the grade (anchor 4.5).
The total line has moved +6 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8.5).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Philadelphia Phillies2Atlanta Braves12FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | 12 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 9 · LOST
C Under 8.5 runs · landed 14 · LOST