Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

Tue 9/8 · 6:15 PM CDT · Truist Park

THE EDGE

B-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 9 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Lance Barrett (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

AJ Smith-Shawver 17.9/13.1 · Freddy Peralta 21.8/8.4

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 8.5 vs 8.5 typical at Truist Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 24.1 · away 15.8

BULLPEN AVAILABILITY (NOT QUALITY)PRICED

home 139p/3d (b2b 0) · away 144p/3d (b2b 0) · recent arms: Casey Legumina, Cole Sulser, Didier Fuentes, Dylan Dodd

CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

AJ Smith-Shawver 17.9/13.1 · Freddy Peralta 21.8/8.4

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 4.5 typical at Truist Park this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 24.1 · away 15.8

F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

The f5_total line has moved +2 since the grade (anchor 4.5).

Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

ATL

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Tampa Bay Rays7Atlanta Braves1FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TB	1	0	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	7
ATL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

no lean First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 5 · LOST

B Under 8.5 runs · landed 8 · WON

TOTAL · UNDER 8.5 RUNS

B cards like this have won 52% under · market 49% · stake 0.5u

FIRST 5 INNINGS

no lean

model 52% under · market 50%