You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
C-grade Under 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. The grade is the full-picture model's read; no legacy code fired. Umpire Andy Fletcher (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJacob Lopez 21.2/10.8 · Bryce Miller 24.4/7.3
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 5.5 typical at Sutter Health Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 20.7 · away 24.2
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved +3.5 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +4.5 since the grade (anchor 9).
Everything on this card is in the price. The grade is the model's read of how the priced pieces combine.
Seattle Mariners7Athletics8FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|---|
| ATH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
C First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 8 · LOST
A Under 9.0 runs · landed 15 · LOST