You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
B-grade Over 9.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 9 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Jonathan Parra (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonBrady Basso 16.2/2.7 · Braydon Fisher 24.3/21.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 9.5 vs 10 typical at Sutter Health Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 21.3 · away 17.8
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this seasonBrady Basso 16.2/2.7 · Braydon Fisher 24.3/21.6
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 5.5 typical at Sutter Health Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 21.3 · away 17.8
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
The f5_total line has moved -2.5 since the grade (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -7 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 9.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Toronto Blue Jays0Athletics2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Over 5.0 · landed 2 · LOST
B Over 9.5 runs · landed 2 · LOST