You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
no lean-grade Under 5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 2 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Bill Miller (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEK-zone ump × walk-prone starter: +8.8% (n=358) when true / -6.2% (n=446) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDJack Perkins 25.4/11.5 · José Soriano 23.1/10.7
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 5.5 typical at Sutter Health Park this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 22.3 · away 17.7
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Conditions have changed since the grade (temp 87.5→90.8°F) — the frozen grade and reasoning predate this.
The f5_total line has moved -1.5 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 5).
The total line has moved -2.5 since the grade (anchor 9).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Toronto Blue Jays4Athletics2FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| TOR | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|---|
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 3 · WON
no lean Under 9.0 runs · landed 6 · WON