New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Sun 9/20 · 7:10 PM CDT · Chase Field

THE EDGE

C-grade Over 3.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 6 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Alex Tosi (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICED

Brandon Pfaadt 15.4/4.3 · Cam Schlittler 31.6/6.1

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 3.5 vs 5 typical at Chase Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 20.9 · away 24.5

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

NYY

TOP 1 · 0 OUT

B S OUT

updated 2026-09-20T00:28:40Z · thru AB 1

AT BAT

Ben Rice

K% 24.0 · BB% 12.6 (633 PA) · bats L

1st time through the order

PITCHING

Brandon Pfaadt

no pitch data yet

1 batters faced

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

LAST PLAY

Status Change - Warmup

	1	R
NYY	—	0
AZ	—	0

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Final state renders once the game completes.

TOTAL · OVER 7.5 RUNS

C cards like this have won 52% over · market 47%

FIRST 5 INNINGS · OVER 3.5

C cards like this have won 51% over · market 52%