You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE EDGE
A-grade Under 8.5 (full-game total) — model vs market gap 13 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Brian Walsh (confirmed).
CONTEXT CHIPS — TOTAL
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDMerrill Kelly 15.4/10.0 · MacKenzie Gore 24.9/9.2
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 8.5 vs 9 typical at Chase Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 19.6 · away 22.7
CONTEXT CHIPS — FIRST 5
VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGEHeat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE
STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDMerrill Kelly 15.4/10.0 · MacKenzie Gore 24.9/9.2
MARKET ANCHORPRICEDtonight's line 5.0 vs 5 typical at Chase Field this season
LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICEDhome 19.6 · away 22.7
F5 excludes the bullpen — that's why this market isolates the starters.
CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS
Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.
The f5_total line has moved -4.5 since the grade (anchor 5).
The total line has moved +2 since the grade against the graded side (anchor 8.5).
Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.
· — OUT
B S OUT
updated — ·
AT BAT
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season line pending
PITCHING
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no pitch data yet
STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT
no pitches yet this at-bat
auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game
Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).
Texas Rangers1Arizona Diamondbacks9FINAL
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 |
|---|
HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED
no lean First-5-innings Under 5.0 · landed 5 · PUSH
A Under 8.5 runs · landed 10 · LOST