Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Wed 9/2 · 2:40 PM CDT · Chase Field

THE EDGE

A-grade Under 4.5 (first-5 total) — model vs market gap 14 points. A validated close edge is in play here. Umpire Gabe Morales (confirmed).

CONTEXT CHIPS — F5_TOTAL

VALIDATED INTERACTIONEDGE

Heat × dry air: +10.1% (n=421) when true / -5.1% (n=193) when false — tonight: TRUE

STARTERS K% / BB%PRICEDunder ~100 BF this season

Taylor Clarke —/— · Andrew Painter 19.3/8.5

MARKET ANCHORPRICED

tonight's line 4.5 vs 5 typical at Chase Field this season

LINEUP K% (LAST 30)PRICED

home 19.3 · away 15.9

CAUTIONS — WHAT CUTS AGAINST THIS

Retractable roof — reported closed before first pitch, entered by hand, not measured.

The f5_total line has moved -3 since the grade toward the graded side (anchor 4.5).

The total line has moved -7 since the grade (anchor 8.5).

Season rates and workload are in the price. Spotter's edge here: validated interaction.

PHI

—

· — OUT

B S OUT

updated — ·

—

AT BAT

—

season line pending

PITCHING

—

no pitch data yet

STRIKE ZONE · THIS AT-BAT

no pitches yet this at-bat

auto-refreshes while live · display only — grades never change in-game

Live view warms up once the poller sees this game (SPOTTER_LIVE_VIEW).

Philadelphia Phillies0Arizona Diamondbacks1FINAL

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	—	1

HOW THE GRADED MARKETS LANDED

A First-5-innings Under 4.5 · landed 0 · WON

B Under 8.5 runs · landed 1 · WON

TOTAL · UNDER 8.5 RUNS

B cards like this have won 52% under · market 48% · stake 0.5u

FIRST 5 INNINGS · UNDER 4.5

A cards like this have won 55% under · market 47% · stake 1u