Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5475397281831078,
"p_shipped": 0.4959150518459922,
"model_mu": 4.8999421526018265,
"market_p": 0.4883720930232558,
"divergence": 0.05916763515985202,
"band": "C",
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2829,
"contribution": 0.13241,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2632,
"contribution": 0.1232,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.1935,
"contribution": 0.09058,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1363,
"contribution": -0.0638,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_dome",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "Umpire's strike zone has run wider than the league this past year \u2014 more called strikes",
"share": 0.1241,
"contribution": -0.0581,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"ump_width_rel",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T16:30:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5534909951297161,
"p_shipped": 0.5380505896614192,
"model_mu": 5.233212536033973,
"market_p": 0.5283505154639175,
"divergence": 0.025140479665798576,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T16:30:49Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2952,
"contribution": 0.13241,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_velo_dev",
"a_sp_k_pct_shr"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.2277,
"contribution": 0.10215,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_xbh30",
"h_off_k30",
"h_platoon_share"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2019,
"contribution": 0.09058,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"h_elo",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Day game",
"share": 0.1422,
"contribution": -0.0638,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"day_game",
"is_dome",
"alt_kft"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.133,
"contribution": -0.05964,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"a_cs30"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5168702069178572,
"p_shipped": 0.48923489226737993,
"model_mu": 7.599194237855033,
"market_p": 0.48843187660668386,
"divergence": 0.028438330311173377,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T13:15:49Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "projected",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.3886,
"contribution": -0.25709,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Domed park \u2014 weather is neutralised",
"share": 0.319,
"contribution": 0.21104,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_dome",
"day_game",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter an established starter (10+ starts)",
"share": 0.1342,
"contribution": 0.08878,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_velo_dev"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0868,
"contribution": 0.05741,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The home team striking out less than league average, last 30 games",
"share": 0.0713,
"contribution": 0.04717,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_k30",
"a_off_xbh30",
"a_platoon_miss"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "final",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-13T16:30:49Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.5042551609542305,
"p_shipped": 0.4765237203877626,
"model_mu": 8.505303925035168,
"market_p": 0.47948717948717956,
"divergence": 0.024767981467050948,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-13T16:30:49Z",
"lineup_known": 1,
"ump_state": "confirmed",
"weather_kind": "forecast",
"result": "won",
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot: getaway day for the away team \u2014 day game, then travel",
"share": 0.3718,
"contribution": -0.25709,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"a_rest0",
"a_getaway"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Domed park \u2014 weather is neutralised",
"share": 0.3052,
"contribution": 0.21104,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_dome",
"day_game",
"park_f5_asof"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter an established starter (10+ starts)",
"share": 0.1284,
"contribution": 0.08878,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"a_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_velo_dev"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Backup catcher starting",
"share": 0.1116,
"contribution": -0.07717,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_backup_catcher",
"a_cs30",
"a_cat_framing_prior"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.083,
"contribution": 0.05741,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
}
]
}
]