Raw grade details (all passes)
[
{
"market": "f5_total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 121,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.4824926092875157,
"p_shipped": 0.45766265752824564,
"model_mu": 3.8235123992476456,
"market_p": 0.4792746113989638,
"divergence": 0.003217997888551871,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 4.5,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "ump",
"phrase": "No recent umpire zone reading against the league \u2014 graded on league-typical assumptions",
"share": 0.2766,
"contribution": -0.12879,
"kind": "gap",
"features": [
"ump_rel_miss",
"ump_acc_rel",
"ump_bb_dev_sd"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2737,
"contribution": 0.12741,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"a_elo"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "The home starter has thrown 468 pitches over 30 days",
"share": 0.197,
"contribution": -0.09172,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"h_sp_tto_decay",
"a_sp_mix_drift"
]
},
{
"family": "battery",
"phrase": "Behind the plate leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.1381,
"contribution": 0.06427,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_cs30",
"h_cat_framing_prior",
"a_cs30"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "Offense profile leans under \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.0735,
"contribution": -0.0342,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_off_hr30",
"h_off_xbh30",
"a_off_xbh30"
]
},
{
"family": "park",
"phrase": "Retractable roof \u2014 state not known at grade time",
"share": 0.0411,
"contribution": 0.01915,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"is_retract",
"wx_miss",
"alt_kft"
]
}
]
},
{
"market": "total",
"pass_kind": "first",
"graded_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"rung": "l1",
"fit_id": 117,
"feature_version": 5,
"model_p": 0.502982826104869,
"p_shipped": 0.5092588032414477,
"model_mu": 7.578832774212136,
"market_p": 0.5142118863049095,
"divergence": -0.011229060200040553,
"band": null,
"anchor_line": 8.0,
"anchor_book": "pinnacle",
"anchor_fetched_utc": "2026-09-18T13:15:21Z",
"lineup_known": 0,
"ump_state": "unknown",
"weather_kind": "none",
"result": null,
"factors": [
{
"family": "situational",
"phrase": "Schedule spot leans over \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.3016,
"contribution": 0.14808,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_rest0",
"h_miles7d_k",
"a_miles7d_k"
]
},
{
"family": "strength",
"phrase": "Team strength & form leans over \u2014 mostly the away team",
"share": 0.2716,
"contribution": 0.13336,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_rs30",
"a_ra30",
"h_ra30"
]
},
{
"family": "starters",
"phrase": "Starting pitchers leans under",
"share": 0.1527,
"contribution": -0.07499,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_sp_starts_c10",
"h_sp_pitches_30d",
"a_sp_starts_c10"
]
},
{
"family": "offense",
"phrase": "The away team below league average in extra-base hits, last 30 games",
"share": 0.138,
"contribution": -0.06775,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"a_off_xbh30",
"h_off_hr30",
"a_off_hr30"
]
},
{
"family": "bullpen",
"phrase": "Bullpen leans under \u2014 mostly the home team",
"share": 0.136,
"contribution": -0.06678,
"kind": "driver",
"features": [
"h_bp_pitches_3d",
"a_bp_apps_3d",
"h_bp_apps_3d"
]
}
]
}
]