You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 36–44 · B 124–98 · C 165–153 · 35 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 1u
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
1:10 PM CDTA Over 9.0 runspushno lean · First-5 Over 5.0
Derek Law
Noah Cameronmarket 52%
A cards won 54% · gap 2.9 · stake 1u
90°F — heat carries the ball
full card →FINAL12345678910RAZ00000000055KC00000000044
game view →B GRADES· 4
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
8:10 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.5misswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Over 8.5 runshitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Chase Burns
Emmet SheehanTOTALmarket 49%
C cards won 52% · gap 3.1
FIRST 5market 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.3
86°F — heat carries the ball
full card →FINAL123456789RCIN1000001103LAD00002301—6
game view →Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
2:10 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.0missno lean · Over 7.5 runs
Joe Ryan
Troy Meltonmarket 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.9
The away starter back from a 30+ day MLB gap — established arm
full card →FINAL123456789RMIN1001020004DET12002000—5
game view →Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
12:35 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.5misswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayC Over 8.5 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Grayson Rodriguez
Brayan BelloTOTALmarket 48%
C cards won 52% · gap 3.9
FIRST 5market 50%
B cards won 49% · gap 1.2
The home starter likely goes only an inning or two — relievers cover most of the game. Priced in, and it went too far — counts toward the under
full card →FINAL123456789RLAA0000010102BOS04100000—5
game view →St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
7:10 PM CDTB First-5 Over 4.5misswas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 8.0 runs
Michael McGreevy
Logan Webbmarket 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.0
Wind blowing out, ~11 mph net
full card →FINAL1234567891011RSTL000001101104SF101010000115
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
12:05 PM CDTC First-5 Over 4.5misswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · Over 8.0 runs
Grant Holmes
Jesús LuzardoFINAL123456789RATL0000000000PHI00000001—1
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 5 games, no lean — the market has these priced
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins · 12:10 PM CDT · Jonah Tong vs Eury Pérezcard →Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles · 12:35 PM CDT · Joey Cantillo vs Trevor Rogerscard →Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres · 4:10 PM CDT · Jake Irvin vs Nick Pivettacard →Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics · 9:05 PM CDT · Dylan Cease vs Jacob Lopezcard →Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers · 1:10 PM CDT · Matthew Boyd vs Robert Gassercard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.