You have to decide based on everything. Here's everything — graded.
THE RECORDA 36–44 · B 124–98 · C 165–153 · 35 push — prospective, every grade frozen before first pitch and settled by machine.full record →
BEST OF THE SLATE
FEATURED · HIGHEST CONVICTION · stake 0.5u
Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees
6:05 PM CDTB Under 7.5 runsmissB First-5 Under 4.0hitwas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Gabriel Hughes
Cam SchlittlerTOTALmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 3.1 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 47%
B cards won 49% · gap 2.2
The home team allowing 3 runs a game, last 30 — below league average
full card →FINAL123456789RCOL0010000023NYY10001003—5
game view →B GRADES· 5 more
Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
5:40 PM CDTB First-5 Under 4.5hitno lean · Under 8.0 runs
Dean Kremer
Drew Andersonmarket 50%
B cards won 49% · gap 0.7
The home starter likely goes only an inning or two — relievers cover most of the game. Priced in, and it went too far — counts toward the under
full card →FINAL123456789RMIN1000020003DET0000200002
game view →Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
8:40 PM CDTB Over 7.5 runshitC First-5 Over 4.0hitwas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward us
Cal Quantrill
Bryce MillerTOTALmarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 2.8 · stake 0.5u
FIRST 5market 52%
C cards won 51% · gap 1.3
The home team allowing 6 runs a game, last 30 — above league average
full card →FINAL123456789RTEX11025010010SEA0003000115
game view →Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
6:40 PM CDTB Over 9.0 runsmisswas A at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward usno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Corbin Burnes
Michael Wachamarket 51%
B cards won 52% · gap 1.6 · stake 0.5u
97°F — heat carries the ball
full card →FINAL1234567891011RAZ000000011125KC000000002103
game view →New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
5:40 PM CDTB Under 8.0 runsmissno lean · First-5 Over 4.0
Sean Manaea
Sandy Alcantaramarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 3.6 · stake 0.5u
Bullpen leans under — mostly the home team
full card →FINAL123456789RNYM2310100007MIA0000040015
game view →Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
6:15 PM CDTB Under 8.5 runshitwas C at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Under 4.5
Freddy Peralta
AJ Smith-Shawvermarket 49%
B cards won 52% · gap 3.4 · stake 0.5u
Schedule spot leans over — mostly the home teamagainst the under
full card →FINAL123456789RTB1030010117ATL1000000001
game view →C GRADES· worth a look, thinner edge
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
8:40 PM CDTC Under 8.0 runsmisswas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Riley Cornelio
Casey MizeFINAL123456789RWSH0100020104SD00000014—5
game view →Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox
6:40 PM CDTC Under 8.5 runsmisswas B at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved toward usno lean · First-5 Over 4.5
Bubba Chandler
Sean BurkeFINAL123456789RPIT5200200009CWS0000111003
game view →Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
6:40 PM CDTC Under 7.0 runspushwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved awayno lean · First-5 Over 4.0
David Peterson
Jacob MisiorowskiFINAL12345678910RCHC10000000203MIL10000000214
game view →Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
5:35 PM CDTC Over 8.0 runshitC First-5 Over 4.5hitwas no lean at 8:15 AM CDT · market moved away
Tanner Bibee
Brandon YoungFINAL123456789RCLE1410003009BAL0001400005
game view →THE REST OF THE SLATE· 5 games, no lean — the market has these priced
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox · 5:45 PM CDT · Reid Detmers vs Patrick Sandovalcard →Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics · 8:40 PM CDT · José Soriano vs Jack Perkinscard →Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM CDT · Hayden Wesneski vs Andrew Paintercard →St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants · 8:45 PM CDT · Quinn Mathews vs Landen Rouppcard →Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers · 9:10 PM CDT · Nick Lodolo vs Tarik Skubalcard →
Honest row: grades cap at the band — extreme disagreement doesn't earn extra conviction. Moneyline is ungraded because the model hasn't beaten that market, and we say so. Model fit 2021–2025, leave-one-season-out; F5 grades ride a shorter history (2023–2025). No grade is ever re-graded; only its result is filled in after the game. · Research, not betting advice. 21+. Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.